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Ted Cody's avatar

Because that land can be converted into a housing development anytime the landowner wants? After receiving years of tax relief?

Lee Nellis's avatar

A significant problem here is in the last line above. There is no question that Vermont needs more housing that is reasonably affordable to most working folks. There is debate about the size of this shortage. The most frequently cited assessment shows the short-term need varying by more than 11,000 units, depending on what assumptions are made in projecting that need.

But the uncertainty - some of which is inevitable in a discussion like this one - does not have to be resolved to realize that the debate over the inclusion, or not, of working lands in state conservation goals is not tightly connected to the housing issue. The only way thousands of housing units can be added within the next few years is to build those units where there is already infrastructure, or where central water, wastewater, and storm water utilities, and roads can be easily expanded. Very little of the land included in anyone's vision of conservation falls into that category. Letting rural Vermonters add a few homes on large lots (or not) within a framework of reasonable regulations is barely relevant to the housing shortage.

What is most relevant, and I do not see in the conversation, is the question of how to provide the necessary infrastructure that housing development will follow. This could be done in the existing growth centers and by building new infrastructure in small communities where that makes sense. Centering the housing conversation on access to infrastructure would shift it from abstract, large numbers (which get everyone excited, if not panicked, but do not change the reality that housing gets built one unit at a time) to the difficult, highly specific, on-the-ground questions about where infrastructure can be added and how it can be afforded. And building from there, to the question of how to make whatever housing gets built more affordable. That's what the Legislature should be talking about.

Focusing the housing conversation on infrastructure would also free the conservation conversation from what is, honestly, a distraction. Neither "side" wants to build vast tracts of housing in rural Vermont. Some people want it to be a little wilder, some want it to be more pastoral. And there is the hard question about the permanence of protections that is raised in Peter Erb's comment. It is impossible to navigate these questions in the abstract (which, in this case, too, is the enemy of clear thinking), but Vermonters are capable of dealing with it in a process that brings them together to talk about specific landscapes. The Legislature should get that process running (expensive, I know, but cheap compared to losing and then having to buy land back and restore it).

To recap, there is no pressing need to entangle the housing and conservation conversations. In fact, doing so at this time makes both more difficult. They will intersect, but if the proper foundations have been laid, the questions that must be answered at that time will no longer be abstract. They will focus on specific places where hard choices must be made. That's not as much fun as talking about lofty goals. But it is the only way folks will get a Vermont that works.

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